Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 8.961893 9.895025 10.894296 12.045731 13.338040 14.746109 16.399713
2025-10-19 7.383270 8.638638 10.074512 11.845346 13.980060 16.482229 19.654462
2025-10-26 6.213305 7.632108 9.347848 11.591026 14.469173 18.068592 22.958750
2025-11-02 5.336193 6.834035 8.734603 11.349759 14.896246 19.598139 26.404036
2025-11-09 4.656484 6.183632 8.204543 11.113889 15.259875 21.055490 29.948705
2025-11-16 4.138129 5.674492 7.785090 10.949718 15.667589 22.592158 33.812885
2025-11-23 3.739867 5.278792 7.465726 10.869060 16.158598 24.283776 38.146580
2025-11-30 3.491263 5.064724 7.373974 11.098345 17.125412 26.805757 44.188886
2025-12-07 3.201193 4.755888 7.102748 11.008767 17.560780 28.514029 49.118526
2025-12-14 2.914767 4.422728 6.756755 10.752486 17.675779 29.679564 53.247818
2025-12-21 2.708506 4.194199 6.550117 10.695570 18.110312 31.438395 58.750826
2025-12-28 2.593124 4.099376 6.547601 10.978624 19.169137 34.456306 67.229393
2026-01-04 2.481577 4.004318 6.540958 11.263627 20.288240 37.790994 77.100721
2026-01-11 2.339231 3.844983 6.409681 11.308967 20.960592 40.355022 85.848425
2026-01-18 2.187192 3.655996 6.209024 11.202551 21.320759 42.335751 93.689616
2026-01-25 2.043369 3.469561 5.996021 11.048631 21.563226 44.100846 101.390254
2026-02-01 1.909433 3.290118 5.779967 10.864980 21.718533 45.695111 109.008048
2026-02-08 1.794574 3.136481 5.598645 10.731132 21.961727 47.521585 117.627193
2026-02-15 1.698663 3.010585 5.459093 10.667564 22.349805 49.743218 127.818407
2026-02-22 1.645397 2.960770 5.461732 10.901185 23.438673 53.828169 144.252089
2026-03-01 1.560973 2.844806 5.324194 10.818768 23.780000 56.100045 155.911039
2026-03-08 1.465884 2.701424 5.120454 10.570577 23.693392 57.253726 164.417008
2026-03-15 1.397939 2.606901 5.008699 10.516544 24.074168 59.707486 177.715634